postcodealert

Updated 10 November 2026, 23:31 UTC

Energy supply risks

updated 10 Nov 23:16
Shortage riskNone
Market strainElevatedUK gas in store 49% of usual for the date; EU gas storage 72% full, 17 points below usual
Warnings in force0of 4 steps

No warnings in force. The last one was on Monday 9 November. If supply gets tight, the steps below light up in order.

STEP 1 OF 4INACTIVE

Electricity Margin Notice or Capacity Market Notice

Supply is tight. Nothing for you to do. Power stations are being asked to produce more.

STEP 2 OF 4INACTIVE

Demand Flexibility Service

You may be asked to use less. Some households are paid to cut back at peak times. It is voluntary.

STEP 3 OF 4INACTIVE

High Risk of Demand Reduction

Power cuts are possible. Charge phones and power banks. Check on anyone who relies on powered equipment.

STEP 4 OF 4INACTIVE

Demand Control Imminent

Power cuts within 30 minutes. Expect to lose power for a time. Follow your network operator's advice.

How much spare power is expected each day?

Spare power at the busiest time of day (early evening), after the safety reserve. Taller is safer.

051015GWThu 12: 10.7 GW spareThu 12Fri 13: 6.0 GW spareFri 13Sat 14: 9.1 GW spareSat 14Sun 15: 10.7 GW spareSun 15Mon 16: 10.7 GW spareTue 17: 11.2 GW spareTue 17Wed 18: 10.8 GW spareThu 19: 11.7 GW spareThu 19Fri 20: 12.0 GW spareSat 21: 16.1 GW spareSat 21Sun 22: 15.0 GW spareMon 23: 13.4 GW spareMon 23Tue 24: 13.6 GW spareBelow this line: supply is tightMore reliableFurther ahead: a rough guide only

Spare power over the next 12 hours

Updated every half hour. It dips when demand is high, usually 4pm to 7pm.

0510152025GW12am3am6am9am12pmBelow this line: supply is tightLowest: 12 GW at 9:00am
How to read thisGreen bars well above the dashed line mean plenty of spare power. A bar below the line means supply is tight that evening. Tight does not mean power cuts: it means the grid operator may start issuing warnings.
How reliable is it?Over five years, when the forecast showed more than 6 GW spare two days ahead, supply was almost never tight. Further ahead it tends to look better than it turns out, and it has missed some tight days, so the four warning steps above are the firmer signal.
What is market strain?How stretched the market looks: power and gas prices against their own last 90 days, and gas in store in the UK and Europe against the same date in earlier years. High strain means less cushion if something goes wrong. It is not a forecast of power cuts.
Details for specialistsStatus is the worst of three readings. Notices: AMBER while a margin or capacity notice or the Demand Flexibility Service is in force, RED at a High Risk of Demand Reduction or Demand Control Imminent notice. Days 2 to 5: AMBER when the lowest surplus is under 3,000 MW, RED under 0 MW. Next 12 hours: AMBER when the de-rated margin falls under 4,000 MW, RED under 2,000 MW or at a loss-of-load probability of 1%. On 5 years of history a surplus above 6,000 MW two days ahead was almost never followed by a tight day; below zero, about a third were. The forecast further out runs about 1,400 MW optimistic and misses some tight days, so days 6 to 14 are an outlook only. 1 GW is 1,000 MW. Spare power each day is NESO's operating surplus after reserve; over the next 12 hours it is the de-rated margin. Source: Contains BMRS data © Elexon Limited copyright and database right 2026 (NESO forecast).
PostcodeAlert

Power cuts now

Layers
Network operators

Customers affected
Dashed edge: planned, or placed at the district centre.

Map display
Boundaries: Office for National Statistics, OGL v3. Postcode areas are approximate.

Power cuts: last 7 and 30 days

Unplanned incidents only, by the day they started (UTC). SP Energy Networks publishes no customer counts.

Incidents opened per day

UKPNNGEDNPGSPENSSEN
01002003004004 Nov · UKPN: 924 Nov · NGED: 804 Nov · NPG: 454 Nov · SPEN: 484 Nov5 Nov · UKPN: 1045 Nov · NGED: 705 Nov · NPG: 435 Nov · SPEN: 565 Nov · SSEN: 15 Nov6 Nov · UKPN: 936 Nov · NGED: 626 Nov · NPG: 516 Nov · SPEN: 446 Nov7 Nov · UKPN: 767 Nov · NGED: 407 Nov · NPG: 437 Nov · SPEN: 347 Nov · SSEN: 17 Nov8 Nov · UKPN: 668 Nov · NGED: 388 Nov · NPG: 568 Nov · SPEN: 318 Nov9 Nov · UKPN: 1039 Nov · NGED: 539 Nov · NPG: 499 Nov · SPEN: 439 Nov · SSEN: 99 Nov10 Nov · UKPN: 11410 Nov · NGED: 6910 Nov · NPG: 5310 Nov · SPEN: 4810 Nov · SSEN: 10110 Nov

Customers affected per day (max reported per incident)

UKPNNGEDNPGSPENSSEN
020k40k60k4 Nov · UKPN: 4,8184 Nov · NGED: 9,3234 Nov · NPG: 8,8624 Nov5 Nov · UKPN: 9,3095 Nov · NGED: 30,6505 Nov · NPG: 12,3585 Nov6 Nov · UKPN: 17,7226 Nov · NGED: 6,0196 Nov · NPG: 12,6376 Nov7 Nov · UKPN: 4,0377 Nov · NGED: 5,1617 Nov · NPG: 11,2507 Nov8 Nov · UKPN: 4,4688 Nov · NGED: 5,4978 Nov · NPG: 11,9888 Nov9 Nov · UKPN: 7,3329 Nov · NGED: 5,6709 Nov · NPG: 2,8849 Nov · SSEN: 1649 Nov10 Nov · UKPN: 13,52910 Nov · NGED: 7,61810 Nov · NPG: 5,81810 Nov · SSEN: 15,54810 Nov

Customers off supply over time (unplanned, per poll)

UKPNNGEDNPGSPENSSEN
010k20k30k4 Nov5 Nov6 Nov7 Nov8 Nov9 Nov10 Nov

Duration of closed incidents, hours

median90th percentile (one in ten lasts longer)
051015UKPN · median: 2.3UKPN · 90th percentile (one in ten lasts longer): 14.2UKPNNGED · median: 3.9NGED · 90th percentile (one in ten lasts longer): 13.1NGEDNPG · median: 3.1NPG · 90th percentile (one in ten lasts longer): 10.4NPGSPEN · median: 2.2SPEN · 90th percentile (one in ten lasts longer): 6.6SPENSSEN · median: 2.3SSEN · 90th percentile (one in ten lasts longer): 14.4SSEN

Electricity and gas system

Wind output, % of normal for the time of year

daily7-day average
0100200300%JunJulAugSepOctNov

Cold: heating degree days above (+) or below normal

daily7-day average
-5-2.502.55JunJulAugSepOctNov

Gas share of generation, %

gas sharenormal (same weeks, previous 3 years)
020406080%JunJulAugSepOctNov

Net imports through interconnectors, GW (daily average)

daily7-day average
-50510JunJulAugSepOctNov

GB power price, £/MWh (Elexon market index)

daily, volume-weighted market index90-day median
0100200300Jan 26MarMayJulSepNov

UK gas in store by gas year (Oct to Sep), TWh

2021/222022/232023/242024/252025/262026/27
0102030NovJan 27MarMayJulSep

EU gas storage, % full by gas year (AGSI+)

2021/222022/232023/242024/252025/262026/27
0255075100%NovJan 27MarMayJulSep

Gas and power prices, £/MWh

gas (SAP)power (market index)
0100200300Jan 26MarMayJulSepNov

Daily data to 9 November 2026. Wind and gas share from Elexon generation by fuel; temperature is the Met Office Hadley Centre Central England series, with normal as the 1991 to 2020 average; a heating degree day is a degree below 15.5°C. Net imports are flows on the interconnectors, imports less exports; below zero Britain is exporting. Gas price is the system average price.

National detailPower cutsNational electricity and gas supply

Power cuts

GREEN · Normalas of 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC (0 min ago)
Customers off supply
5,126
24 h +1,863 · 7 d +3,034
Open unplanned incidents
60
24 h +11 · 7 d +10
Opened in the last hour
10
Largest open incident
1,311 customers
Planned outages open
13
Outage history held
14 days

Covers the operators listed under By operator; Electricity North West is not collected. SP Energy Networks publishes no customer counts.

Unplanned incidents first seen per day

4232026-10-272026-11-10peak 4232026-10-27: 2562026-10-28: 2212026-10-29: 3052026-10-30: 3222026-10-31: 1962026-11-01: 1822026-11-02: 2912026-11-03: 3102026-11-04: 2782026-11-05: 2812026-11-06: 2592026-11-07: 1982026-11-08: 1962026-11-09: 2592026-11-10: 423

By operator

OperatorOpen unplannedCustomersPlanned openTime last poll
SSEN183,189210 Nov 23:31
NGED121,223910 Nov 23:31
NPG4359110 Nov 23:31
UKPN22355010 Nov 23:31
SPEN40110 Nov 23:31

Largest open incidents

OperatorDistrictCustomersTime startedCause
SSENSL41,31110 Nov 13:12–
NGEDCF51,05710 Nov 23:05HV GENERIC
SSENSN475910 Nov 12:04–
SSENSL275010 Nov 17:40–
NPGBD1723310 Nov 20:06The power cut affecting your property has been caused by an unexpected
UKPNTN3417610 Nov 13:54A fault has occurred on an underground electricity cable affecting the
SSENRG910410 Nov 18:40–
NPGNE159810 Nov 23:12The power cut affecting your property has been caused by an unexpected
UKPNBN249810 Nov 13:33We're investigating a high voltage overhead electricity line fault whi
UKPNRH47010 Nov 17:56We are aware of an incident caused by 11kV OH Fault affecting the elec

Districts with most cuts 30d

DistrictUnplanned cutsCustomers
TN34191,315
NW616336
CR014205
ME13140
ML1130
YO25126,479
PE13122,854
HD8121,447
IP1312567
CB612166

Source: UK Power Networks live faults · CC BY 4.0; Supported by NGED Open Data · NGED Open Data Licence; Supported by Northern Powergrid Open Data · Northern Powergrid Open Data Licence v1.0; SP Energy Networks outage data · CC BY 4.0; SSEN Real Time Outage Dataset · CC BY 4.0

National electricity and gas supply

AMBER · Elevatedas of 2026-11-10 22:30 UTC (1 h 1 min ago)
National demand
28.7 GW
Wind share of supply
12.3 %
Gas share of supply
64.1 %
Net imports share
-5.8 %
Carbon intensity
228.0 g/kWh
Power price, 2026-11-09
290.5 £/MWh
Price vs 90-day median
1.9 x
GB medium-range gas store vs prior years
65.5 %

No margin notices are collected yet. Status is a proxy: AMBER when the daily power price is at least 2x its 90-day median or GB medium-range gas in store is below 80% of prior years for the date.

Daily power price gbp per mwh

2902026-08-112026-11-09peak 2902026-08-11: 1352026-08-12: 1432026-08-13: 1512026-08-14: 1432026-08-15: 1422026-08-16: 1542026-08-17: 1622026-08-18: 1532026-08-19: 1582026-08-20: 1462026-08-21: 1372026-08-22: 882026-08-23: 1042026-08-24: 1372026-08-25: 1322026-08-26: 1492026-08-27: 1712026-08-28: 1352026-08-29: 1272026-08-30: 1582026-08-31: 1332026-09-01: 1152026-09-02: 1662026-09-03: 1172026-09-04: 792026-09-05: 692026-09-06: 872026-09-07: 1372026-09-08: 1442026-09-09: 1642026-09-10: 1382026-09-11: 1712026-09-12: 892026-09-13: 2012026-09-14: 1812026-09-15: 1412026-09-16: 1572026-09-17: 932026-09-18: 772026-09-19: 342026-09-20: 572026-09-21: 1692026-09-22: 1622026-09-23: 1552026-09-24: 1692026-09-25: 1552026-09-26: 1282026-09-27: 952026-09-28: 1732026-09-29: 1432026-09-30: 1222026-10-01: 1522026-10-02: 1512026-10-03: 1592026-10-04: 1112026-10-05: 1162026-10-06: 2022026-10-07: 1602026-10-08: 1442026-10-09: 592026-10-10: 822026-10-11: 1622026-10-12: 1542026-10-13: 1222026-10-14: 1682026-10-15: 1982026-10-16: 1872026-10-17: 1472026-10-18: 1642026-10-19: 1842026-10-20: 1652026-10-21: 1762026-10-22: 1512026-10-23: 1672026-10-24: 712026-10-25: 722026-10-26: 1692026-10-27: 1292026-10-28: 2012026-10-29: 2202026-10-30: 2022026-10-31: 2232026-11-01: 2232026-11-02: 2112026-11-03: 2022026-11-04: 1992026-11-05: 2072026-11-06: 2412026-11-07: 2052026-11-08: 2102026-11-09: 290

Generation mix now

SourceGwShare percent
Wind3.812.3
Solar0.00.0
Gas19.864.1
Nuclear5.116.6
Biomass3.210.5
Hydro and pumped storage0.41.2
Coal, oil and other0.31.1
Net imports-1.8-5.8

Gas

ItemValueUnitDatePublic
GB long-range gas in store (Rough)0GWh2026-11-09no
GB medium-range gas in store11,020GWh2026-11-09no
GB medium-range store vs prior years for the date65.5%2026-11-09no
GB LNG terminal stocks8,657GWh2026-11-09no
EU storage72.4% full2026-11-08no

Source: Contains BMRS data © Elexon Limited copyright and database right 2026 · BMRS Data Licence; Carbon Intensity API (NESO) · CC BY 4.0; Sheffield Solar PV_Live · CC BY 4.0; National Gas data portal; GIE AGSI+